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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located in the east Pacific, well to the 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP99):
Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure a few 
hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to 
become better organized, and it appears that a tropical depression 
may be forming. If current trends persist, advisories on a tropical 
depression will be initiated later today or tonight. The system is 
forecast to move slowly west-northwestward, remaining offshore of 
the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days. 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should continue to 
monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, 
including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by 
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form off the southern coast 
of Mexico by the middle of next week. Gradual development of this 
system is likely thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
during the middle to latter part of next week while moving 
west-northwestward to northwestward, near or parallel to the coast 
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


Forecaster Hogsett