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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Bahamas and Southern Florida:
A weak area of low pressure located near the northwestern Bahamas 
continues to produce disorganized shower activity.  This system is 
expected to drift west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas 
and toward southern Florida during the next day or two, however 
development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.  Heavy 
rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of the east 
coast of Florida and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few 
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. North-Central Gulf:
A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf 
and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the 
coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.  This system is 
expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, 
reaching the coast of Texas by Monday.  Development of this system 
is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

3. Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde 
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Gradual development of the wave is possible over 
the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the 
middle to latter part of next week while moving across the 
central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward 
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Berg