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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Bahamas and Southern Florida:
A weak area of low pressure located near the central and 
northwestern Bahamas is producing disorganized shower activity.  
This system is expected to drift west-northwestward across the 
northwestern Bahamas and toward southern Florida during the next 
couple of days.  Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent 
significant development of the low, however the combination of the 
disturbance and the broader remnant boundary is still expected to 
produce heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of 
Florida and the Bahamas through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave has just emerged off the coast of Africa.  The wave 
is forecast to interact with another disturbance over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic, and then move westward after that.  
Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for some 
slow development of the system in a few days, and a tropical 
depression could form near or east of the Lesser Antilles by the end 
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Berg