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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Southwestern Atlantic:
A weak area of low pressure has formed near the central Bahamas 
along the remnants of a frontal boundary. This system is expected to 
meander near Florida and the Bahamas for the next several days. 
Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant 
development of the low, however the combination of the disturbance 
with the broader remnant boundary are still expected to produce 
heavy rainfall across portions of Florida and the Bahamas through 
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa today. 
The wave is forecast to interact with another disturbance over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic, and then move westward after that. 
Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for some 
slow development of the system in a few days, and a tropical 
depression could form near or east of the Lesser Antilles by the end 
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster D. Zelinsky