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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP99):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with a 
trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by the weekend while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward, remaining parallel to but offshore of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast 
of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Bucci