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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located well south-southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles off the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression will likely form on Friday or over the weekend while the 
system moves generally west-northwestward, parallel to but offshore 
of the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Interests in southwestern 
Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi