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NHC Graphical Outlook Archive


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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Narda, located well to the west of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Well South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP98):
An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles offshore of southwest Mexico has become better
organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next
day or two. The system is forecast to drift westward into Tuesday,
then turn west-northwestward thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Near the Southwest Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop off the southwest
coast of Mexico near the end of the week. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of the system
next weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs