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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Narda, located well to the west of the southern tip of the 
Baja California Peninsula.

1. Well South of the Baja California Peninsula:
An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave located 
several hundred miles offshore of southwest Mexico is beginning to 
become better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for additional development during the next few days and a 
tropical cyclone is likely to form by the middle of the week. The 
system is forecast to drift westward for the next day or two, then 
turn west-northwestward after that time.   
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Near the Southwest Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop off the southwest 
coast of Mexico near the end of the week. Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of the system 
next weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs