ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Gabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave 
located a little less than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles 
continues to show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be favorable for development over the next several 
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the latter half 
of this week while the system moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward into the western tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms, and gusty winds across much of the Windward and 
Leeward Islands.  This wave is expected to move west-northwestward 
at 15 to 20 mph, spreading heavy rainfall and gusty winds into 
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday.  The 
system is then expected to slow down and turn northwestward when it 
reaches the southwestern Atlantic near the Bahamas late this week, 
and a tropical depression could form when the disturbance is in that 
region.  Interests in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Turks and 
Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this 
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin