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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Sep 17 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico (EP96):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the 
coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of showers 
and thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that 
the circulation appears to be becoming better organized. 
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next 
day or two while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over 
the central portion of the eastern Pacific.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs