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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low 
pressure located about midway between the Windward Islands and the 
Cabo Verde Islands have changed little in organization during the 
past 12 hours or so.  However, environmental conditions are 
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or 
storm is expected to form in the next day or two as the system moves 
west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central 
tropical Atlantic.  Additional information on this system, including 
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located a couple hundred miles southeast of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible 
towards the latter part of this week as it moves westward at 15 to 
20 mph, moving from the eastern to central portion of the tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Hagen