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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 16 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Mario, located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico (EP96):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the coast 
of southern Mexico continues to produce a broad area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the middle to latter part of 
this week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the 
central east Pacific.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Kelly