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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association with 
a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. A drier air mass 
is limiting the potential for development over the next couple of 
days, and environmental conditions will remain only marginally 
favorable thereafter. A tropical depression could form during the 
early to middle part of next week as the system moves westward at 
around 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is 
likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part 
of next week, and interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Kelly