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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited and 
disorganized in association with a tropical wave over the central 
tropical Atlantic. Although upper-level winds are generally 
favorable for development, environmental dry air is likely to limit 
development over the next couple of days. However, a tropical 
depression could still form early next week as the system moves 
westward at around 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This 
system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to 
latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its 
progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Hagen