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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 29 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP93):
A weak area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week 
while moving west-northwestward or westward at around 10 mph across 
the central to western part of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low 
pressure could form from this system this weekend or early next 
week, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical 
depression to form by the middle of next week while moving 
generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Berg