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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 29 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP93):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend 
or early next week while moving west-northwestward or westward at 
around 10 mph across the central to western part of the eastern 
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week 
off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for some gradual development of this system thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week 
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore 
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Berg