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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
A tropical wave located just east of the Windward Islands continues 
to produce shower and thunderstorm activity.  While satellite data 
indicates that the wave does not appear to have a surface 
circulation, an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 
currently investigating the area.  This system could still become a 
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves 
quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward 
and Leeward Islands later today and early Monday.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds to tropical storm force 
are likely across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands 
today and Monday. The system is expected to reach the central 
Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast to become 
less favorable for additional development.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Blake