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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fernand, located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.

1. East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
During the past several hours, showers and thunderstorms associated 
with a tropical wave located about 450 miles east of the Windward 
Islands have changed little in organization. This system could 
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it 
moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the 
Windward and Leeward Islands late today or tonight. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible 
across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands today and 
Monday. The system is expected to reach the central Caribbean on 
Tuesday, where conditions are expected to become less favorable for 
additional development. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.




Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO 
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO 
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.


Forecaster Beven