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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 22 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form early next week while it moves generally 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Hagen