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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located a couple hundred miles to the northeast of the 
Southeast Bahamas.

1. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of 
the week or this weekend. This system should move westward to 
west-northwestward at about 20 mph and approach the vicinity of the 
Leeward Islands on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles to the southeast 
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area 
of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear 
generally favorable for additional development over the next couple 
of days as the system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the 
end of this week, this system could encounter a less favorable 
environment, limiting its development chances after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Bucci