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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located about 100 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos 
Islands.

1. Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development 
of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the 
latter part of the week while moving westward to west-northwestward 
at about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic, possibly 
approaching the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Berg