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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located less than 200 miles east-northeast of the Turks and 
Caicos Islands.

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
Shower activity remains limited in association with an elongated 
area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of 
North Carolina.  Upper-level winds are unfavorable, and development 
is no longer expected.  The low should continue to weaken over the 
next 24 hours while drifting east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of 
this system is possible during the latter half of this week, and a 
tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend while 
the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, 
approaching the northeastern Caribbean Sea or southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Hagen