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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, north of the Lesser Antilles.

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
Recent satellite-derived winds indicate an elongated area of low 
pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of North 
Carolina with associated surface winds of less than 20 mph.  Shower 
activity remains limited, and development, if any, of this system 
should be slow to occur during the next day or so, while it drifts 
generally eastward.  The opportunity for development should end on 
Monday, when environmental upper-level winds are expected to become 
unfavorable.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of 
this system is possible during the middle to latter portion of the 
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 
20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Roberts