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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located about 150 miles north of Puerto Rico.

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
The area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the 
coast of North Carolina continues to produce disorganized shower 
activity to the east of the center.  Development, if any, of this 
system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it 
moves little over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream.  The 
opportunity for development should end on Monday when environmental 
conditions are expected to become unfavorable.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form over the central tropical 
Atlantic during the middle to latter portion of the week.  Some 
subsequent development could occur as the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi