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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1110 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Updated discussion for the western Gulf disturbance (AL98)

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Hurricane Erin, located several hundred miles east of the 
northern Leeward Islands.

1. Western Gulf (AL98):
Updated: An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has been 
investigating the disturbance located along the coast of 
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas.  Aircraft wind data and 
coastal Doppler radar data indicate that a closed circulation is 
not present and the trough axis associated with the disturbance is 
closer to the coast than previously estimated.  Therefore, the 
possibility of formation is diminishing with only a few hours left 
over water.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is 
possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas 
over the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Bucci