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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Erin, located several hundred miles east of the northern 
Leeward Islands.

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the disturbance located 
over the western Gulf continues to lack a closed low-level 
circulation.  However, shower activity has increased some over the 
past few hours and the system could become a short-lived tropical 
depression before it moves inland over northeastern Mexico or 
southern Texas this afternoon or evening.  Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of 
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next couple of 
days, and interests there should monitor the progress of this 
system. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system later this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi