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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Western Atlantic:
A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles off 
the coast of North Carolina is producing a few disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, is expected 
to be slow to occur over the next day or so while it moves 
northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.  The low is likely to merge with a 
front over the weekend, ending its chances for tropical or 
subtropical development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing 
minimal shower activity.  Development of this system appears 
unlikely during the next day or two due to surrounding dry air, but 
environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a 
few days.  A tropical depression could form during the early 
or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward to 
northward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Berg