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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Off the Southeastern United States:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or 
so a few hundred miles offshore of North Carolina.  Some tropical or 
subtropical development is possible this weekend while the system 
moves northeastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream.  By 
early next week, the low is expected to reach colder water and an 
area of strong upper-level winds, ending its chances for tropical or 
subtropical development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Central Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic continues to  
produce disorganized shower activity.  Development of this system 
appears unlikely during the next day or two, but environmental 
conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a few days.  A 
tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week 
while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across 
the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Bucci