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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles 
east of the North Carolina coast.  The low is producing gale-force 
winds, and it appears that the system is becoming separated from 
the nearby frontal zone to its north and west.  If the shower 
and thunderstorm activity persists, the low would continue to 
acquire tropical characteristics, with a tropical storm likely to 
form later tonight or on Monday while moving east-northeastward at 
10 to 15 mph over the western Atlantic, away from the coast of North 
Carolina.  For additional information, including gale warnings, 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on 
Monday.  Thereafter, some gradual development of the wave is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form late this week while 
it moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Off the Southeastern United States:
An area of low pressure could form in a couple of days a few hundred 
miles off the coast of the southeastern United States.  Some 
gradual development of this system is possible during the middle or 
latter part of the week as the system drifts to the west or 
northwest. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Berg