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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gil, located well west-southwest of the southern Baja California
peninsula. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center has issued its final
advisory on Tropical Depression Iona, which is now located west of
the International Date Line, well west-southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands. Future advisories will be issued by RSMC Tokyo, Japan. For
U.S. interests, refer to Department of Defense warnings issued by
the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

1. Western East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of
southwestern Mexico within the next day or two. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
weekend or early next week as the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for some
development, and a tropical depression could form late next week as
the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs



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List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - April 2023)
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List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)