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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Eastern portion of the Central Pacific (CP90): 
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
about 900 miles southeast of the Hawaiian Islands have become better 
organized since earlier today. Additional development of this system 
is expected and a tropical depression is likely to form later 
tonight or Sunday as it moves generally westward around 10 mph, well 
to the south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
A trough of low pressure about 1700 miles east-southeast of the 
Hawaiian Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible during the next few days at it moves generally westward 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

3. South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form well offshore of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico early next week. Thereafter,  
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, 
and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter 
part of next week as the system moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema