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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Recent satellite wind data, in combination with surface and radar 
observations, indicate the broad area of low pressure located over 
the far northern portion of the Gulf remains quite disorganized. In 
addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains 
displaced well west of the broad center. While some additional 
development of this system remains possible over the next 12-24 
hours, its current structure suggests its chances of developing into 
a tropical depression before it reaches the Louisiana coast later 
today are decreasing.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through 
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued 
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather 
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Papin