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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a westward-moving broad 
area of low pressure continues to be located near the coast of the 
western part of the Florida Panhandle. The associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located south to 
southwest of the center. This system is forecast to continue moving 
westward across the northern portion of the Gulf tonight, and is 
expected to reach the Louisiana coast by Thursday. If this system 
moves far enough offshore, environmental conditions over the Gulf 
appear generally favorable for additional development, and a 
tropical depression could form over the next day or so before the 
system moves fully inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of Florida tonight and continuing for 
portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through Friday. For 
additional information, please refer to products issued by the 
Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service 
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Papin