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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area moving 
across the northern Florida peninsula continues to produce 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the south 
and southwest of its center. The system is forecast to move 
westward, and it could emerge over the far northeastern and 
north-central Gulf, possibly approaching the coast of Louisiana on 
Thursday. Environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally 
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression 
could form if the system moves far enough offshore over the next 
couple of days.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized 
flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy 
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the 
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late Wednesday and continuing 
through Friday. For additional information, please refer to products 
issued by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Hagen