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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific (EP96):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated 
with a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
southwestern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is 
anticipated during the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves 
generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of 
southwestern Mexico late next week. Some gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Brown