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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala have 
changed little in organization during the past day or so.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression or 
tropical storm is likely to form by late this weekend while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward, off the coast of southern 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Hagen