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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 6 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Earlier satellite wind data indicated that an area of low pressure 
located less than a couple hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico 
was becoming better defined. However, the current associated shower 
and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Environmental 
conditions appear generally favorable for additional development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next 
day or two while it moves slowly west-northwestward or 
northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests 
along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.  Regardless of development, the disturbance could 
bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico during 
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Papin