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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean.

1. Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over portions of the central and western 
Gulf of Mexico.  A broad area of low pressure is expected to form 
over the south-central or southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. 
Gradual development is possible after the low develops, and a 
tropical or subtropical depression or storm could form during the 
early or middle portions of next week while the low moves slowly 
eastward.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could 
occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days and over 
portions of the Florida Peninsula from late this weekend into next 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi