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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located less than 200 miles south of the coast of southern Mexico 
have become better organized since yesterday.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for additional development of this 
system, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple 
of days while the system drifts slowly northeastward toward the 
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development 
of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the 
middle part of the week while the system moves slowly eastward or 
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Hagen