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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located less than 200 miles southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico 
continue to become better organized.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or 
tonight.  Interests in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, 
Sinaloa, and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of this 
system.  Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches will likely be required 
for some of those locations later this morning. Regardless of 
development heavy rainfall is likely across portions of those 
locations.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Hagen