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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 22 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gilma, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

1. Central Portion of the East Pacific (EP92):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms,
mostly to the west of its center. Environmental conditions are
generally conducive for development over the next few days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next
week while the system moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Kelly