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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Gilma, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized
in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located
well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. If these trends
continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to
develop later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15
mph. A weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected
to merge with this system later today. This system is expected to
strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on
Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or
early next week.

Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though
it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude
of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can
also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of
the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development in a few days, and
a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the
weekend while the system moves west-northwestward into the central
portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

Forecaster Papin/Alaka



List of Atlantic Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - April 2023)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)