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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few 
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is associated 
with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form during the middle part of the week. The system is 
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph 
during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce some 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of 
this system is possible during the middle and latter parts of the 
week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph 
across the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form offshore of the coast of Central 
America and southern Mexico towards the end of the week. Some 
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it 
moves generally westward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 


Forecaster Blake