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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Tammy, located just north of the northern Leeward Islands. 

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization since 
this morning in association with a low pressure system located over 
the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions 
are favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form 
before the system moves inland over Nicaragua by early Tuesday.  
Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rains 
over portions of Central America during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi