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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 16 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fernanda, located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
Showers and thunderstorms are continuing to show signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development,
and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form within
the next day or so. The system is expected to move
west-northwestward to northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast
of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula during the
next several days. Additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
over the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is
possible thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php