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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance unit aircraft has recently been 
flying through the large non-tropical low pressure area located 
about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina.  While 
the low is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the north 
and east of the center, the plane did not find a well-defined 
center, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not 
become any better organized today.  This system could still become 
a short-lived subtropical storm through Sunday, but environmental 
conditions should become unfavorable for any further development on 
Monday.  The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward and 
approach eastern North Carolina tonight and early Sunday.  
Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system 
and refer to local National Weather Service office products for 
more information.  Regardless of development, intermittent periods 
of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and 
eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two.    
Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at

Forecaster Blake

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