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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles 
east of the northern Leeward Islands. 

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula 
and surrounding waters are associated with a surface trough and an 
upper-level disturbance located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.  
Locally heavy rains are likely to continue through tonight over 
that area.  The system is forecast to move slowly northward or 
northeastward over the central and then northeastern Gulf of Mexico 
over the next few days. Although upper-level winds are currently 
unfavorable for development to occur, they are expected to become 
marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday. 
The disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United 
States beginning midweek, and some development will be possible 
once it emerges over the Atlantic waters by late this week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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