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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ida, located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical 
Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic. 

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located over the central 
Atlantic.  Although environmental conditions remain only marginally 
conducive for further development, only a slight increase in 
organization would result in the formation of a tropical depression 
later tonight or on Sunday.  In a couple of days, the system is 
forecast to be absorbed by a frontal system.  The disturbance is 
expected to drift eastward through tonight, then accelerate 
northeastward Sunday toward the central north Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of west Africa 
by the middle of next week.  Thereafter, environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form toward the end of next week as the system moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO 
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under 
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

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