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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 21 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Hurricane Grace, located over eastern Mexico, is forecast to 
dissipate over inland Mexico today.  However, Grace's remnants are 
expected to continue moving westward and emerge over the eastern 
Pacific Ocean off the west-central coast of Mexico by Sunday 
afternoon.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 
mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.  
The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 
15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Pasch




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