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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Recent satellite and microwave imagery indicate that the area of low 
pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula has become better-defined while 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of 
organization. Therefore, this system will likely become a tropical 
depression later today or tonight as it moves slowly westward. Early 
next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association 
with a weak area of low pressure located about a hundred miles 
south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions 
appear to be somewhat conducive for further development over the 
next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression could still 
form during that time. By early next week, the system is forecast to 
interact with land and a larger disturbance developing to its north, 
and further development is not anticipated. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of 
Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See 
products from your local meteorological service for more 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
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List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)